Recession or depression? 1 out of 2 people in the U.S. are living at poverty levels

I came across this article on Yahoo News and had to share it. I hope this census is not anything close to accurate, but the subject matter is certainly concerning.  I cannot begin to tell you the numerous people  that I personally know who are living in a financially compromised state; this includes families too.  Something seriously needs to shift in our economy.  Is this really a recession or a depression?   This reality of this article is chilling.

Census shows 1 in 2 people are poor or low-income

By HOPE YEN | AP

WASHINGTON (AP) — Squeezed by rising living costs, a record number of Americans — nearly 1 in 2 — have fallen into poverty or are scraping by on earnings that classify them as low income.

The latest census data depict a middle class that’s shrinking as unemployment stays high and the government’s safety net frays. The new numbers follow years of stagnating wages for the middle class that have hurt millions of workers and families.

“Safety net programs such as food stamps and tax credits kept poverty from rising even higher in 2010, but for many low-income families with work-related and medical expenses, they are considered too ‘rich’ to qualify,” said Sheldon Danziger, a University of Michigan public policy professor who specializes in poverty.

“The reality is that prospects for the poor and the near poor are dismal,” he said. “If Congress and the states make further cuts, we can expect the number of poor and low-income families to rise for the next several years.”

Congressional Republicans and Democrats are sparring over legislation that would renew a Social Security payroll tax reduction, part of a year-end political showdown over economic priorities that could also trim unemployment benefits, freeze federal pay and reduce entitlement spending.

Robert Rector, a senior research fellow at the conservative Heritage Foundation, questioned whether some people classified as poor or low-income actually suffer material hardship. He said that while safety-net programs have helped many Americans, they have gone too far. He said some people described as poor live in decent-size homes, drive cars and own wide-screen TVs.

“There’s no doubt the recession has thrown a lot of people out of work and incomes have fallen,” Rector said. “As we come out of recession, it will be important that these programs promote self-sufficiency rather than dependence and encourage people to look for work.”

Mayors in 29 cities say more than 1 in 4 people needing emergency food assistance did not receive it. Many formerly middle-class Americans are dropping below the low-income threshold — roughly $45,000 for a family of four — because of pay cuts, a forced reduction of work hours or a spouse losing a job.

States in the South and West had the highest shares of low-income families, including Arizona, New Mexico and South Carolina, which have scaled back or eliminated aid programs for the needy. By raw numbers, such families were most numerous in California and Texas, each with more than 1 million.

The struggling Americans include Zenobia Bechtol, 18, in Austin, Texas, who earns minimum wage as a part-time pizza delivery driver. Bechtol and her 7-month-old baby were recently evicted from their bedbug-infested apartment after her boyfriend, an electrician, lost his job in the sluggish economy.

After an 18-month job search, Bechtol’s boyfriend now works as a waiter and the family of three is temporarily living with her mother.

“We’re paying my mom $200 a month for rent, and after diapers and formula and gas for work, we barely have enough money to spend,” said Bechtol, a high school graduate who wants to go to college. “If it weren’t for food stamps and other government money for families who need help, we wouldn’t have been able to survive.”

About 97.3 million Americans fall into a low-income category, commonly defined as those earning between 100 and 199 percent of the poverty level, based on a new supplemental measure by the Census Bureau that is designed to provide a fuller picture of poverty. Together with the 49.1 million who fall below the poverty line and are counted as poor, they number 146.4 million, or 48 percent of the U.S. population. That’s up by 4 million from 2009, the earliest numbers for the newly developed poverty measure.

The new measure of poverty takes into account medical, commuting and other living costs as well as taxes. Doing that pushed the number of people below 200 percent of the poverty level up from the 104 million, or 1 in 3 Americans, that was officially reported in September.

Broken down by age, children were most likely to be poor or low-income — about 57 percent — followed by seniors 65 and over. By race and ethnicity, Hispanics topped the list at 73 percent, followed by blacks, Asians and non-Hispanic whites.

Even by traditional measures, many working families are hurting.

Following the recession that began in late 2007, the share of working families who are low income has risen for three straight years to 31.2 percent, or 10.2 million. That proportion is the highest in at least a decade, up from 27 percent in 2002, according to a new analysis by the Working Poor Families Project and the Population Reference Bureau, a nonprofit research group based in Washington.

Among low-income families, about one-third were considered poor while the remainder — 6.9 million — earned income just above the poverty line. Many states phase out eligibility for food stamps, Medicaid, tax credit and other government aid programs for low-income Americans as they approach 200 percent of the poverty level.

The majority of low-income families — 62 percent — spent more than one-third of their earnings on housing, surpassing a common guideline for what is considered affordable. By some census surveys, child-care costs consume close to another one-fifth when a mother works.

Paychecks for low-income families are shrinking. The inflation-adjusted average earnings for the bottom 20 percent of families have fallen from $16,788 in 1979 to just under $15,000, and earnings for the next 20 percent have remained flat at $37,000. In contrast, higher-income brackets had significant wage growth since 1979, with earnings for the top 5 percent of families climbing 64 percent to more than $313,000.

A survey of 29 cities conducted by the U.S. Conference of Mayors released Thursday points to a gloomy outlook for those on the lower end of the income scale.

Many mayors cited the challenges of meeting increased demands for food assistance, expressing particular concern about possible cuts to federal programs such as food stamps and WIC, which assists low-income pregnant women and mothers. Unemployment led the list of causes of hunger in cities, followed by poverty, low wages and high housing costs.

Across the 29 cities, about 27 percent of people needing emergency food aid did not receive it. Kansas City, Mo.; Nashville, Tenn.; Sacramento, Calif.; and Trenton, N.J., were among the cities that pointed to increases in the cost of food and declining food donations. Mayor Michael McGinn in Seattle cited an unexpected spike in food requests from immigrants and refugees, particularly from Somalia, Burma and Bhutan.

Among those requesting emergency food assistance, 51 percent were in families, 26 percent were employed, 19 percent were elderly and 11 percent were homeless.

“People who never thought they would need food are in need of help,” said Mayor Sly James of Kansas City, Mo., who co-chairs a mayors’ task force on hunger and homelessness.

___

Online:

Census Bureau: http://www.census.gov

U.S. Conference of Mayors: http://www.usmayors.org/

Stocks continue to plummet: U.S. big fiscal blitz

Decline’s continue despite Obama’s stimulus. Here’s the UK’s take on our current economic crisis.

The stock of money in the US fell from $14.2 trillion to $13.9 trillion in the three
months to April, amounting to an annual rate of contraction of 9.6pc

US money supply plunges at 1930s pace as Obama eyes fresh stimulus

The M3 money supply in the United States is contracting at an accelerating rate that now matches the average decline seen from 1929 to 1933, despite near zero interest rates and the biggest fiscal blitz in history.

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
Published: 9:40PM BST 26 May 2010

The M3 figures – which include broad range of bank accounts and are tracked by British and European monetarists for warning signals about the direction of the US economy a year or so in advance – began shrinking last summer. The pace has since quickened. The stock of money fell from $14.2 trillion to $13.9 trillion in the three months to April, amounting
to an annual rate of contraction of 9.6pc. The assets of institutional money market funds fell at a 37pc rate, the sharpest drop ever. Bad news: we’re back to 1931. Good news: it’s not 1933 yet (/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard
/4339501/Bad-news-were-back-to-1931.-Good-news-its-not-1933-yet.html)

“It’s frightening,” said Professor Tim Congdon from International Monetary Research. “The plunge in M3 has no
precedent since the Great Depression. The dominant reason for this is that regulators across the world are
pressing banks to raise capital asset ratios and to shrink their risk assets. This is why the US is not recovering
properly,” he said.

The US authorities have an entirely different explanation for the failure of stimulus measures to gain full traction.
They are opting instead for yet further doses of Keynesian spending, despite warnings from the IMF that the gross
public debt of the US will reach 97pc of GDP next year and 110pc by 2015.

Larry Summers, President Barack Obama (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/middleeast/israel/7767429
/Barack-Obama-invites-Netanyahu-for-White-House-visit.html) ’s top economic adviser, has asked Congress to “grit
its teeth” and approve a fresh fiscal boost of $200bn to keep growth on track. “We are nearly 8m jobs short of
normal employment. For millions of Americans the economic emergency grinds on,” he said.

David Rosenberg from Gluskin Sheff said the White House appears to have reversed course just weeks after Mr
Obama vowed to rein in a budget deficit of $1.5 trillion (9.4pc of GDP) this year and set up a commission to target
cuts. “You truly cannot make this stuff up. The US governnment is freaked out about the prospect of a
double-dip (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/7765383/Double-dip-fears-
over-worldwide-credit-stress.html) ,” he said.

The White House request is a tacit admission that the economy is already losing thrust and may stall later this
year as stimulus from the original $800bn package starts to fade.

Recent data have been mixed. Durable goods orders jumped 2.9pc in April but house prices have been falling for
several months and mortgage applications have dropped to a 13-year low. The ECRI leading index of US
economic activity has been sliding continuously since its peak in October, suffering the steepest one-week drop
ever recorded in mid-May.

Mr Summers acknowledged in a speech this week that the eurozone crisis had shone a spotlight on the dangers
of spiralling public debt. He said deficit spending delays the day of reckoning and leaves the US at the mercy of
foreign creditors. Ultimately, “failure begets failure” in fiscal policy as the logic of compound interest does its worst.
However, Mr Summers said it would be “pennywise and pound foolish” to skimp just as the kindling wood of
recovery starts to catch fire. He said fiscal policy comes into its own at at time when the economy “faces a liquidity
trap” and the Fed is constrained by zero interest rates.
Mr Congdon said the Obama policy risks repeating the strategic errors of Japan, which pushed debt to
dangerously high levels with one fiscal boost after another during its Lost Decade, instead of resorting to
full-blown “Friedmanite” monetary stimulus.
“Fiscal policy does not work. The US has just tried the biggest fiscal experiment in history and it has failed. What
matters is the quantity of money and in extremis that can be increased easily by quantititave easing. If the Fed
doesn’t act, a double-dip recession is a virtual certainty,” he said.

/banksandfinance/7713041/Audit-of-Federal-Reserve-will-reveal-name-of-banks-given-2-trillion-in-loans.html) – are
all Keynesians of different stripes who “despise traditional monetary theory and have a religious aversion to any
mention of the quantity of money”. The great opus by Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz – The Monetary History
of the United States – has been left to gather dust.

Mr Bernanke no longer pays attention to the M3 data. The bank stopped publishing the data five years ago,
deeming it too erratic to be of much use.

This may have been a serious error since double-digit growth of M3 during the US housing bubble gave clear
warnings that the boom was out of control. The sudden slowdown in M3 in early to mid-2008 – just as the Fed
talked of raising rates – gave a second warning that the economy was about to go into a nosedive.
Mr Bernanke built his academic reputation on the study of the credit mechanism. This model offers a radically
different theory for how the financial system works. While so-called “creditism” has become the new orthodoxy in
US central banking, it has not yet been tested over time and may yet prove to be a misadventure.

Paul Ashworth at Capital Economics said the decline in M3 is worrying and points to a growing risk of deflation.
“Core inflation is already the lowest since 1966, so we don’t have much margin for error here. Deflation becomes
a threat if it goes on long enough to become entrenched,” he said.

However, Mr Ashworth warned against a mechanical interpretation of money supply figures. “You could argue that
M3 has been going down because people have been taking their money out of accounts to buy stocks, property
and other assets,” he said.
Events may soon tell us whether this is benign or malign. It is certainly remarkable.

** While the Fed does not publish M3, it still publishes the underlying components. The indicator is reconstructed
accurately for clients by Dr John Williams. See it here. (http://www.shadowstats.com/)

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Recession? How about depression? Jobless claims are on the rise!

There is no doubt in my mind that this moment in time will go down in history as being profoundly life-altering, and I wonder in 50 years who will be listed to blame for this economic madness? I also wonder if this will actually be termed a recession, or perhaps a second depression. I have maintained for some time that the only reason we are not seeing the long labor lines, is because job hunting is not done that way anymore. Talk to those who are in human resource, or better yet employment agencies, who are getting on the average between 300-500 hits per ad they run for one job. If those people were standing in lines, they would go all around a building, just like they did during the Great Depression.

So, it seems the saga continues with this recent rise in unemployment claims for benefits, and the already 471,000 filed unemployment claims are up by 25,000 in just one week. Is it any wonder Jennifer Lee’s response at senior economist at BMO Capital Markets says, “Although no one expects this volatile series to go in one direction every single week, this is clearly a disappointment.”

A disappointment is the understatement.

Read More:

Looking for work? Contract jobs are on the rise

With the shift in employment, some employers are hiring, but only on a contract basis, which will probably mean – less pay, no benefits, and less security. In fact, while most of these jobs are paying less and offering less, they are still requiring the same amount of work.

Certainly not a great incentive for the employee. One cannot help but wonder if the quality of work at some level will be affected?

If you’re looking for work, look for temporary positions, contract, independent contractor, etc., and you may be amazed at what you find.

Read More:
Need a job? Contract work could be new normal
As recession fades, experts see dearth of full-time positions with benefits
By Eve Tahmincioglu
msnbc.com contributor

Stephen Luebkert was laid off in March 2009 from a Boston-based semiconductor company. He lived for four months on his severance while he looked for another full-time job and eventually ended up working again for the same firm.

The difference is that now he is a contract employee. He no longer gets any of the perks of being a permanent worker, including paid vacations or sick days, health insurance or tuition assistance. And he estimates that he makes about 20 percent less — for the same job he was doing before.

The thing he misses most? “A feeling of security.”

As employers begin to cautiously hire again after the deepest economic downturn in a generation, Luebkert is in the vanguard of an emerging new contingent work force. For some businesses, these contingent workers could become a permanent solution, eliminating a huge swath of full-time jobs with benefits, say labor and business experts.

“It’s cheaper to hire contingent workers, but also more flexible for employers,” said Bill Kahnweiler, associate professor and human resource expert at Georgia State University’s Department of Public Management and Policy. Contingent workers allow companies to stay lean and avoid hiring more permanent workers. “If someone decides, ‘We need to be this size,’ it’s far easier to do that with contract workers and temps,” Kahnweiler said.

More postings for contract jobs

Just check any job search site and type in “freelance,” “temporary” or “contractor,” and you easily can find hundreds of hits in a broad array of industries.

Monster.com saw a 46.2 percent spike in contract job postings in March compared to the same month last year, said Matthew Henson, a spokesman for the jobs site. Overall job listings increased 32 percent in the same period.

Littler Mendelson, one of the largest employment law firms in the country, predicted in a report last year titled “The Emerging New Workforce” that 50 percent of new jobs that emerge after the recession will be contingent positions, and as a result “as high as 35 percent of the work force will be made up of temporary workers, contractors or other project-based labor.”

Staffing agencies also are seeing the trend. “Last year, a lot of companies were using temps to fill in as an extension of the work force, or to supplement a new burst in clients, or on a project basis,”

The drama continues: 80 billion dollar bill sits on the shelf, while America waits

The drama continues in Washington, while many Americans livelihoods are held in the balance of Obama’s promises, and an $80 billion dollar bill, thought to relive America from the financial pressure cooker we’ve been in still remains stagnant, and Obama’s promised $250 bonus payment to Social Security recipients is gone with the wind since the Senate voted against the bill. With every optimistic thrust there seems to arise complication after complication, while America waits.

Read More

Obama election-year jobs agenda stalls in Congress

By ANDREW TAYLOR (AP) – 1 hour ago

WASHINGTON — The election-year jobs agenda promised by President Barack Obama and Democrats has stalled seven months before voters determine control of Congress.

Democrats have no money to pay for the program. That’s because both Republicans and the Democratic chairman of the Senate Budget Committee objected to taking money left over from the fund that bailed out banks, automakers and insurers and using it for the jobs bill.

Such a move, they insisted, would add tens of billions of dollars to the $12.8 trillion national debt.

An $80 billion-plus Senate plan promised an infusion of cash to build roads and schools, help local governments keep teachers on the payroll, and provide rebates for homeowners who make energy-saving investments. Two months after the plan was introduced, most of those main elements remain on the Senate’s shelf.

Obama’s proposed $250 bonus payment to Social Security recipients is dead for the year, having lost a Senate vote last month.

What’s going ahead instead are small-bore initiatives. That includes modest help for small business or simple extensions of parts from last year’s economic stimulus measure. None is expected to make an appreciable dent in an unemployment rate, stubbornly stuck at 9.7 percent, which is more that double what it was three years ago.

Even legislation to help the jobless has run into trouble now that Republicans, following the lead of the tea party movement, have decided to make trillion-dollar-plus budget deficits a campaign issue.

Before Congress went on spring break, Republicans blocked a one-month extension of health insurance subsidies and additional weeks of unemployment insurance for people who have been out of work more than half a year.

“You never know in politics when that magic moment comes when things really begin to change, but I believe that it has occurred now,” said Arizona Sen. Jon Kyl, the second-ranking Republican. “I think you’ll see a much greater commitment now to fiscal responsibility.”

The idea of a jobs agenda arose late last year when the unemployment rate hit 10 percent and Democrats voiced concern that the majority party wasn’t doing enough to spur job creation. In December, House Democrats passed a $174 billion measure focused on public works spending, aid to the jobless and help to struggling state and local governments.

In the Senate, Majority Leader Reid, D-Nev., handed the issue over the Sens. Dick Durbin, D-Ill., and Byron Dorgan, D-N.D. They devised the $83 billion plan, focused on small business, infrastructure projects, energy efficiency and support for public sector jobs.

The plan absorbed a critical setback when the Senate Budget Committee chairman, Sen. Kent Conrad, D-N.D., came out against using bailout funds to pay for it.

Since then, the measure has languished. The election of Sen. Scott Brown, R-Mass., robbed Democrats of their filibuster-proof 60-vote coalition. Concerns about the rising national debt also sapped momentum.

Democrats and Obama have had one legislative victory on the jobs front. With bipartisan support, they passed legislation giving companies that hire the unemployed a payroll tax holiday through the end of the year.

When the Senate returns Monday, the first order of business will be trying to restore a one-month extension of health insurance subsidies and emergency unemployment aid for people who have been out of a job for more than six months. Republicans stopped a monthlong, $10 billion temporary jobless aid measure last month and insisted that the measure not add to the deficit.

Democrats are optimistic that the jobless aid will pass — first as $10 billion stopgap and then as part of a broader bill extending the benefits through the end of the year. The second, larger bill includes aid to cash-starved state governments, higher Medicare payments for doctors and an extension of several tax breaks.

That larger measure, to be financed mostly by adding almost $100 billion to the debt, is the biggest piece of the jobs agenda with a good chance to pass into law. But it doesn’t contain any new ideas for jump-starting the economy. It just extends elements of Obama’s $862 billion economic stimulus package, which is earning uneven reviews with voters.

There’s a complication. Since provisions of the larger Senate measure designed to pay for tax cuts have been tapped instead to pay for the just-passed health care overhaul, Democrats need to find about $30 billion in replacement revenues — a tall order.

The dilemma hasn’t gotten much attention on Capitol Hill, but is threatening to delay the extension of the tax breaks. That includes a popular research and development tax credit, and a tax deduction for sales and property taxes for people from states without an income tax. The lapse of a tax credit for makers of biodiesel already has hurt producers of the alternative fuel.

Also ahead for lawmakers in April and May is overhauling how the government regulates banks in response to financial meltown in 2008, and passing spending bills to cover the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.

Copyright © 2010 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.

Turning over graves: Our forefathers would be appalled

Well, it’s certain that today’s politicians are not thinking anything close to our forefathers, and with this current health-care program, Constitutional freedom is being sorely compromised. Our forefathers would be appalled.